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Mike Hampton's avatar

I cannot rule out your view but the situation had a build-up and a climax so quick that it felt like theatre, possibly an intelligence operation weeding out insurrectionists in Belarus and Russia. Ukraine jumped the gun in reaction, and had a lot of troops die. This situation has been the biggest example of the fog of war.

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Sergey Aleksashenko's avatar

Could be, though for me there are no evidences

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Mike Hampton's avatar

True, just fog. None can say for certain whether Prigozhin is primarily an opportunistic common criminal or a loyal pawn in Putin's greater game. We'll learn more when he lives in luxury in Belarus, or attacks Ukraine from there. Or if he gets assassinated, or Wagner continues to operate in Africa to Russia's benefit. Or...

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Mike Hampton's avatar

Or he has a meeting with Putin! Who would have guessed that? Bloody fog.

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